ON THE INABILITY TO PREDICT THE PERFORMANCE OF PROFESSIONAL GOLFERS
Authors: Russell D. Clark III
Abstract: This chapter reviews a growing number of studies that indicate it is difficult to predict fluctuations in the performance of professional golfers from their immediate preceding performance. Results indicate that the scores of professional golfers do not cluster together where successful performance follows successful performance (“hot streaks”) and/or poor performance follows poor performance (“cold Streaks”). Professional golfers show little consistency in either their round-to-round performance or their hole-to-hole performance. Contrary to popular belief, choking under pressure is not a common occurrence among professional golfers. Evidence is presented that that the unreliability of golf scores for professional golfers is due to restriction of range. Professional golfers who play on professional tours are so nearly equal in ability that it is mainly a matter of chance who will have either better scores or the best score on any given day.