Development of Regional Climate Change Scenarios and Their Application in Agricultural Risk Assessment: A Review (pp. 331-344)
Authors: (Qunying Luo)
Abstract: This paper comprehensively reviewed the advances made in the field of development of regional climate change scenarios and their application in agricultural impact, adaptation and vulnerability assessment. Construction of regional climate change scenarios evolved from the application of arbitrary scenarios to the application of GCMs based climate change scenarios. GCMs based climate change scenarios progressed from equilibrium climate change scenarios to transient climate change scenarios, from the use of direct GCMs outputs to the use of downscaled GCMs outputs, from the use of single scenarios to the use of probabilistic climate change scenarios and from the application of mean climate change scenarios to the application of integrated climate change scenarios with changes in both mean climate and climate variability considered.
Greater attention from government, industry, business and scientific research bodies are being paid to climate change and its impact, adaptation and vulnerability. Climate change and its associated impacts have become the foci of nowadays policy, business and research. This paper provided invaluable information for those interested in climate change and its impacts.